Trend momentum
Momentum, but only in stocks that are in an uptrend.
2016-11-07 to 2026-11-06, 100,000 DKK to 530,884 DKK, after 12,154 DKK in trading costs. On average 9.8 stocks held; the portfolio is turned over 4.7 times a year.
How it works
Every quarter, keep only liquid stocks trading above their 200-day moving average, then buy the ten with the highest six-month return.
The idea
The moving average filter keeps the strategy out of stocks in a downtrend, which is where momentum crashes usually happen. When few stocks are in an uptrend, it holds fewer of them and keeps the rest in cash.
Equity (DKK)
Year by year
| Year | Trend momentum | Benchmark | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 (part of year) | +14.0% | +15.5% | −1.5% |
| 2025 | +15.4% | +13.4% | +2.0% |
| 2024 | +12.8% | +14.8% | −1.9% |
| 2023 | +15.4% | +10.8% | +4.7% |
| 2022 | +18.2% | −14.8% | +33.0% |
| 2021 | +19.2% | +28.4% | −9.2% |
| 2020 | +43.5% | +42.4% | +1.1% |
| 2019 | +42.8% | +28.6% | +14.2% |
| 2018 | −6.8% | −5.8% | −1.0% |
| 2017 | +8.4% | +17.3% | −8.9% |
| 2016 (part of year) | +6.2% | +6.1% | +0.1% |
Backtests are simulations on historical data, not investment advice. Past results don't guarantee future returns.